Brilliant! Wokeness is a strange blend of academic theory, religious urge, and activist imperative-but it stands in direct opposition to tradition, normal policy-making, and 'common sense.' They've tried to smuggle the weirdness in using the old 'motte and bailey' trick but that's not really working anymore. You're right. They're stuck!
Correct. I made the same analyses. But will there still be humans around in 3-4 years? Grok portrays an 'Arnie' Biden and a Kamala sex robot... That's just around the corner.
People were voting against the deceptiveness of the Democratic party elites (like, they were calling out the "you CAN'T FOOL US" message). Smg was VERY fishy when both Kamala and Joe Biden couldn't deliver coherent sentences away from teleprompters (and the Party hid the truth from them).
[this also ties into the "shame", "virtue signalling", and "preference falsification" culture that the Democrats often have].
At least Trump was honest and *authentic* about being an asshole - he doesn't hide it. His assholeness was honestly understandable. JD Vance can come off as authentic/real even though he still has a lot of explaining to do with respect to his prior contradictory positions. And while JD Vance is technically a conservative Christian, he *has a sense of humor* (unlike prior generations of conservative Christian Republicans LIKE GWB and Mitt Romney and Rick Santorum and all that) and can use this to defuse the tension from prior judgmental comments (eg he doesn't actually judge most childless cat ladies, he judges the *culture* that makes people become that for *political reasons*).
And that's one of the differences. Trump is funny, he fucks up like crazy, and always has these comeback stories. He's inspiring for the millions of people who aren't taken seriously by elites and weren't lucky enough to be socialized in the *right spheres* [or Zvi's moral mazes, which many highly-educated left-wing liberals have been totally captured by when they get captured and enter higher levels of the simalucra only to end up disappointed due to the "elite overproduction dynamics" a la Peter Turchin]. Even Elon Musk was so caught up in left-wing culture up to the early 2020s, once it was realized that the governemntal regulators had ZERO nuance for rebels like him (they turned more against him because he was, and regarded himself as special).
They saw that ALL of Trump's fuckups and "criminal acts", for what they were worth, don't make Trump a Nazi, nor do they make him a fascist. He's too inconsistent/volatile to be fully Nazi or fascist. His actions were "horrible" to people socialized in certain communities (especially law), but to those who never were socialized in those communities, they don't register *as* much as "crimes". In terms of real damage (rather than damage to convoluted legal norms that normal people don't understand), Trump's crimes were *nothing* compared to the damage caused by the Cheney/neoconservative faction of *both parties* [nevermind that both Joe Biden and Hillary Clinton voted for GWB's Iraq War]. Someone (maybe Chomsky) once said that both the Democrat and Republican parties were really two factions of the same party, and Trump saw through that and promptly took out BOTH the elitist Republican and Democrat factions. He caused chaos in his first term, unable to work with many of the "lawful" elites who the Republicans first set out to work with him, and while this made his first presidential term a failure [and disappointed Peter Thiel], he was able to remold the GOP party more towards his loyalists, and perhaps they (being more chaotic/less lawful) might understand him *just enough* to make *things happen* his second term. Elon Musk/RFK have both had issues with lawfuls too, as have I. :)
[and MANY people have been super-traumatized by "fucking up" in some way that made it impossible for them to continue in their path, so this makes Trump relateable].
As Lindsay Graham said, "he lies like crazy, but at least he's a lot of fun". Trump LOVES to have fun (just like football players and wrestlers and males do [and unlike the "unhappy elite strivers who try to career-ascend the ranks of Democrat-heavy fields like law]), he likes to dominate.
Trump is also relateable in the sense that he's impulsive and childish and still makes it big (Scott Adams understood this appeal of him well before anyone else did), and can inspire many guys that "anything is possible" even if you don't succeed in school or the social games that others create for them.
By redefining the games of success AND WHAT'S POSSIBLE, Trump is basically able to CALL OUT OTHER PEOPLE AS FAKE. Kamala is fake, as is Biden [in his recent years], as is much of the Democratic party. It's this in how he creates a reality-distortion field and inspires other people to follow him. Despite how goddamn fucking messy he is (and that he comes back from ALL the messes he creates is hella inspiring).
Trump has massive massive liabilities and is still a huge source of tail risk that could destroy a significant fraction of human value, but this is ALSO true of the huge strongly held assumptions built in the huge "swamp" created by both democrats and republicans (if we don't change them, we are heading towards world war iii). And sticking with the same rules/laws that we have (reducing the speed that we can BUILD due to acts like NEPA) is also *alone* a source of tail risk. Trump will turn the world into fire, but the world was already turning into fire, and at least Trump is far more aware of situational-awareness/Leopold than Kamala or Joe were.
And it's SO crazy that Trump, for all his ignorance, fuckups, and liabilites, is able to BEND THE FUTURE TRAJECTORY OF ALL HUMAN VALUE. That's just so fucking crazy. I'm REALLY happy RFK Jr was nominated, this alone gave me way bigger hope in a Trump administration.
[strongly held beliefs/assumptions, especially those that maintain the institutional norms you grew up with, are also a huge source of tail risk in a massively changing world, and Trump's opportunistic/chaotic nature does not make him loyal to *any* beliefs/assumptions/doctrines. It's just too bad that it also enables him to be captured by corrupt people who flatter him, and that he has a uniquely strong weakness wrt climate change denialism]
His first administration was a failure, but that's when the Republican establishment set him up with way too many lawfuls who didn't let him do what he wanted to do. Maybe for good reason. Now he totally disrupted it, and we're in an unpredictable time where he has to be influenced by the right people (error-correcting ones) who [while they may keep him from his worst impulses], won't do it in an overly moralistic way, but rather in the way that he understands. Still, Peter Thiel has to reconcile with him otherwise I have no hope.
Brilliant! Wokeness is a strange blend of academic theory, religious urge, and activist imperative-but it stands in direct opposition to tradition, normal policy-making, and 'common sense.' They've tried to smuggle the weirdness in using the old 'motte and bailey' trick but that's not really working anymore. You're right. They're stuck!
https://jmpolemic.substack.com/p/the-social-justice-killing-fields
https://jmpolemic.substack.com/p/social-justice-as-a-gnostic-cult?r=1neg52
Correct. I made the same analyses. But will there still be humans around in 3-4 years? Grok portrays an 'Arnie' Biden and a Kamala sex robot... That's just around the corner.
People were voting against the deceptiveness of the Democratic party elites (like, they were calling out the "you CAN'T FOOL US" message). Smg was VERY fishy when both Kamala and Joe Biden couldn't deliver coherent sentences away from teleprompters (and the Party hid the truth from them).
[this also ties into the "shame", "virtue signalling", and "preference falsification" culture that the Democrats often have].
Something I wrote about virtue signalling: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/hpebyswwhiSA4u25A/virtue-signaling-is-sometimes-the-best-or-the-only-metric-we?commentId=MeoGtYv3ghsoccbCo
At least Trump was honest and *authentic* about being an asshole - he doesn't hide it. His assholeness was honestly understandable. JD Vance can come off as authentic/real even though he still has a lot of explaining to do with respect to his prior contradictory positions. And while JD Vance is technically a conservative Christian, he *has a sense of humor* (unlike prior generations of conservative Christian Republicans LIKE GWB and Mitt Romney and Rick Santorum and all that) and can use this to defuse the tension from prior judgmental comments (eg he doesn't actually judge most childless cat ladies, he judges the *culture* that makes people become that for *political reasons*).
And that's one of the differences. Trump is funny, he fucks up like crazy, and always has these comeback stories. He's inspiring for the millions of people who aren't taken seriously by elites and weren't lucky enough to be socialized in the *right spheres* [or Zvi's moral mazes, which many highly-educated left-wing liberals have been totally captured by when they get captured and enter higher levels of the simalucra only to end up disappointed due to the "elite overproduction dynamics" a la Peter Turchin]. Even Elon Musk was so caught up in left-wing culture up to the early 2020s, once it was realized that the governemntal regulators had ZERO nuance for rebels like him (they turned more against him because he was, and regarded himself as special).
They saw that ALL of Trump's fuckups and "criminal acts", for what they were worth, don't make Trump a Nazi, nor do they make him a fascist. He's too inconsistent/volatile to be fully Nazi or fascist. His actions were "horrible" to people socialized in certain communities (especially law), but to those who never were socialized in those communities, they don't register *as* much as "crimes". In terms of real damage (rather than damage to convoluted legal norms that normal people don't understand), Trump's crimes were *nothing* compared to the damage caused by the Cheney/neoconservative faction of *both parties* [nevermind that both Joe Biden and Hillary Clinton voted for GWB's Iraq War]. Someone (maybe Chomsky) once said that both the Democrat and Republican parties were really two factions of the same party, and Trump saw through that and promptly took out BOTH the elitist Republican and Democrat factions. He caused chaos in his first term, unable to work with many of the "lawful" elites who the Republicans first set out to work with him, and while this made his first presidential term a failure [and disappointed Peter Thiel], he was able to remold the GOP party more towards his loyalists, and perhaps they (being more chaotic/less lawful) might understand him *just enough* to make *things happen* his second term. Elon Musk/RFK have both had issues with lawfuls too, as have I. :)
[and MANY people have been super-traumatized by "fucking up" in some way that made it impossible for them to continue in their path, so this makes Trump relateable].
As Lindsay Graham said, "he lies like crazy, but at least he's a lot of fun". Trump LOVES to have fun (just like football players and wrestlers and males do [and unlike the "unhappy elite strivers who try to career-ascend the ranks of Democrat-heavy fields like law]), he likes to dominate.
Trump is also relateable in the sense that he's impulsive and childish and still makes it big (Scott Adams understood this appeal of him well before anyone else did), and can inspire many guys that "anything is possible" even if you don't succeed in school or the social games that others create for them.
By redefining the games of success AND WHAT'S POSSIBLE, Trump is basically able to CALL OUT OTHER PEOPLE AS FAKE. Kamala is fake, as is Biden [in his recent years], as is much of the Democratic party. It's this in how he creates a reality-distortion field and inspires other people to follow him. Despite how goddamn fucking messy he is (and that he comes back from ALL the messes he creates is hella inspiring).
Trump has massive massive liabilities and is still a huge source of tail risk that could destroy a significant fraction of human value, but this is ALSO true of the huge strongly held assumptions built in the huge "swamp" created by both democrats and republicans (if we don't change them, we are heading towards world war iii). And sticking with the same rules/laws that we have (reducing the speed that we can BUILD due to acts like NEPA) is also *alone* a source of tail risk. Trump will turn the world into fire, but the world was already turning into fire, and at least Trump is far more aware of situational-awareness/Leopold than Kamala or Joe were.
And it's SO crazy that Trump, for all his ignorance, fuckups, and liabilites, is able to BEND THE FUTURE TRAJECTORY OF ALL HUMAN VALUE. That's just so fucking crazy. I'm REALLY happy RFK Jr was nominated, this alone gave me way bigger hope in a Trump administration.
[strongly held beliefs/assumptions, especially those that maintain the institutional norms you grew up with, are also a huge source of tail risk in a massively changing world, and Trump's opportunistic/chaotic nature does not make him loyal to *any* beliefs/assumptions/doctrines. It's just too bad that it also enables him to be captured by corrupt people who flatter him, and that he has a uniquely strong weakness wrt climate change denialism]
Also worth reading: https://roadtoomega.substack.com/p/the-case-for-progressive-party-reform
https://substack.com/home/post/p-151220101
I wrote this later:
His first administration was a failure, but that's when the Republican establishment set him up with way too many lawfuls who didn't let him do what he wanted to do. Maybe for good reason. Now he totally disrupted it, and we're in an unpredictable time where he has to be influenced by the right people (error-correcting ones) who [while they may keep him from his worst impulses], won't do it in an overly moralistic way, but rather in the way that he understands. Still, Peter Thiel has to reconcile with him otherwise I have no hope.
Also, John Fetterman is a new generation of Joe Biden, it's just tragic that his stroke means he won't be able to win as prez