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Occam’s Machete's avatar

Very hard to take this seriously given the number of industry experts who take AI risk seriously.

“I learned that no one believes in AI doom because of definite factors of production. They all believe in AI doom because of stories and hypotheticals. That made my theory of change mostly irrelevant. The only people who actually cared about evidence didn’t believe in AI doom in the first place.”

It was not invalid to consider the game theory and risks of atomic weapons before the Manhattan Project succeeded.

Or to have concerns about genetic engineering and artificial wombs, like in a recent podcast of yours.

It’s a fully general counter argument to invalidate reasoning about the future with incomplete evidence.

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