From the New World
From the New World
Zvi Mowshowitz - How the Worst People in Society Bungled a Pandemic

Zvi Mowshowitz - How the Worst People in Society Bungled a Pandemic

Plus Magic the Gathering, Forecasting, and Human Malleability

Zvi is a COVID forecaster, writer of thezvi blog, and game designer at emergents.

We discuss Magic the Gathering, chess and computability, learning curves, COVID projections, the CDC banning testing, immoral mazes, selection effects, psychological malleability, Robin Hanson and medicine, institutional incentives, egalitarianism, civilizational collapse, populism, libertarianism, and pure math.

Note: the timestamps are somewhat inaccurate due to editing and intro.

0:00 MTG

19:00 chess,  computability, and learning

36:30 COVID projections

49:00 CDC banning tests + immoral mazes

57:15 narrative hedging

1:14:05 selection vs. malleability

1:21:20 Robin Hanson and medicine

1:55:00 institution building

2:00:05 egalitarianism and social competition

2:13:30 were we in a golden age?

2:15:30 decivilization

2:18:50 economies of scale

3:03:00 chaos and order

3:14:05 pure math

Zvi’s Blog:

Zvi on Twitter:

Episode with Samo Burja:

From the New World
Samo Burja: Patterns of Destruction and Structures of Rebirth
Listen now (130 min) | Samo Burja is the founder and president of the consulting company Bismarck Analysis, a Research Fellow at the Long Now Foundation and a Senior Research Fellow in Political Science at the Foresight Institute. He is also the writer of the Bismarck Brief newsletter, linked below…
Read more

Episode with Robin Hanson:

From the New World
Robin Hanson: How Global Elites Manufactured Stagnation and How We Escape
Listen now (150 min) | Robin Hanson is a leading research of prediction markets, a professor of economics at George Mason University, author of the Elephant in the Brain and the Age of EM, and the writer of the blog Overcoming Bias. The audio essay of this show discusses the nature and enemies of “common sense” economic progress, as well as the cost-benefit analysis of going a…
Read more

CDC banning COVID tests:

Moral Mazes book: